The main steps in modeling departures
Modeling the departures in Albert allows us to make demographic forecasts. These forecasts aim at predicting how the workforce will evolve over time by taking into account all possible types of departures (natural departures, retirement, ...)
In order to model the departures, Albert follows 3 main steps which will be explained later:
Calculation of the probability of presence of each individual at the end of each period
Calculation of the demographic forecasts of the lowest level entities (cross-referencing of each finer business segment with the finer segments of the other Geo and/or Orga segmentation dimensions if they exist) by aggregating the presence probabilities of each individual and then rounding the result
Calculate the demographic forecasts for each group of entities (up to the most macro level) by aggregating the results for each entity to calculate the demographic forecasts for each group of entities